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Offensive AI Security› Red-Team Measurement›Sampling and Confidence: Wilson Intervals, Per-Family Estimation, and Sequential Testing

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Red-Team Measurement

◆OverviewStart here
1What Is Attack-Success-Rate, Really? The Unit of Analysis, the Population, and the JudgeResearch
2The Judge Problem: LLM-as-Judge Bias, Human-Label Reliability, and Calibrating a GraderResearch
3Sampling and Confidence: Wilson Intervals, Per-Family Estimation, and Sequential TestingResearch
4Transfer and Generalization: Measuring Whether an Attack Holds Across Models, Prompts, and TimeResearch
5A Reporting Standard: Datasets, Seeds, Judge, Confidence Intervals, and Threats to ValidityResearch

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Murali Chillakuru

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Sampling and Confidence: Wilson Intervals, Per-Family Estimation, and Sequential Testing